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COVID 19 GLOBAL


grayray

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1 hour ago, code_slayer_bkk said:

Not in the USA  .. far from the truth ...

 

 

Come on, there has been numerous cases where a principle in a public corporation profits from inside information and goes to jail.

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18 hours ago, Thai Spice said:

I was just joking with the Miss that this would be a good way to get room around me on the HK subway...

I find it a good joke.  If people are stupid enough to run away, its their problem...

😁😁😁😁

 

joke??  on a subway?dont go into stand up comedy

Its like shouting fire in a theatre

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As the old saying goes, In God we trust: all others bring data. At last, we have some decent – if not yet peer-reviewed – data on who is most susceptible to the Chinese virus. A large survey of patients hospitalized with the infection has just been published.

Features of 16,749 hospitalized UK patients with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterization Protocol is full of useful facts of which governments can take advantage.

Perhaps the most startling results were that a third of all hospitalized patients died, 17% are still in hospital and only half have been discharged. Almost half of all intensive-care or high-dependency patients and more than half of all ventilated patients died. Almost half of those admitted to hospital had no comorbidities: age seems to be the most important risk factor.

Those aged 50-69 were 4 times likelier to die than those under 50: those in their 70s were 10 times likelier to die; those over 80 were 14 times likelier to die; females were 20% less likely to die than males.

Since the paper is not yet peer-reviewed, an outside expert opinion was sought from Dr Derek Hill, Professor of Medical Imaging at University College, London, who said:

“This is an extremely impressive preprint describing the characteristics of nearly 17000 patients with confirmed COVID-19 in UK hospitals. Important to note it only covers those admitted to hospital, and that it is a snapshot of outcomes: many patients included are still in hospital so their outcomes are not yet known. Therefore all the mortality and survival numbers are subject to change.

“This is an especially large study, so it provides helpful insights into the symptoms of COVID-19 patients admitted to hospital.  As has been reported many times, this is not like flu in who gets seriously ill or in mortality: young children seem to have low risk and pregnant women do not have a increased risk of serious illness, and it is deadlier than flu. 

There are several distinctive clusters of symptoms, with a significant number of patients not having the characteristic cough and  fever symptoms.  If extrapolated to the community, this might suggest some deaths due to COVID-19 might be missed in untested people.  This work also highlights the link between obesity and poor outcome from COVID-19.”

Policymakers devising strategies for phasing out lockdowns will find the following table summarizing the results useful. For instance, since those under 50 are unlikely to die of the infection and the risk of death even for those in their 60s and 70s is quite small, continuing to lock down the entire economy is no longer necessary.

Instead, there will need to be better procedures for protecting old and sick people in hospitals and in care homes from infection. Outside these settings, old people are canny enough to take their own precautions.

Screenshot 2020-05-03 16.52.18

Our daily graphs of growth rates or declines in estimated active cases and growth rates in cumulative deaths shows all countries tracked bar Sweden and Ireland with active-case rates declining, and all but Canada with daily cumulative deaths growing at 3% or less.

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Fig. 1. Mean compound daily growth rates in estimated active cases of COVID-19 for the world excluding China (red) and for several individual nations averaged over the successive seven-day periods ending on all dates from April 1 to May 2, 2020.

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Fig. 2. Mean compound daily growth rates in cumulative COVID-19 deaths for the world excluding China (red) and for several individual nations averaged over the successive seven-day periods ending on all dates from April 8 to May 2, 2020.

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Probably a resident of Newmarch House!

A 15th resident has died after contracting coronavirus at the Newmarch House aged care facility in Western Sydney.

The latest number of infections at the facility is 63.

 

 

Edited by fygjam
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The number of people in Germany who have been infected with Covid-19 could be more than 10 times the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a new study.

Researchers from the University of Bonn estimate that about 1.8 million have contracted the coronavirus. Germany has about 160,000 confirmed cases.

The study - which has yet to be peer reviewed - focused on a sample of 919 people living in a town in the municipality of Heinsberg, one of the worst-hit areas of the country.

The study also found that more than one in five people infected showed no symptoms.

Germany is starting to ease its lockdown measures. Zoos, museums and hairdressers have reopened, with some students also returning to school.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52525531

More possible evidence that Covid-19 is much more widespread than thought, and that the mortality rate is much lower than first reported.

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2 hours ago, fforest said:

This maybe funny......But I refuse to live in this kind of world......

I actually think it is pathetic, I would just wait until I can go out for a beer in a normal setting whenever that may be. Too be honest I had a virtual pub party via the internet on Saturday, much more comfortable surroundings.

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4 hours ago, Ivan the terrible said:

As the old saying goes, In God we trust: all others bring data. At last, we have some decent – if not yet peer-reviewed – data on who is most susceptible to the Chinese virus. A large survey of patients hospitalized with the infection has just been published.

etc. etc.

Thanks for posting that.

For anyone interested in the source, it appears to be https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/05/03/who-is-at-risk-from-the-chinese-virus-some-hard-data-at-last-coronavirus/

 

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